Foreign Relations Law

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Comment
The Expressive Effects of Bilateral Labor Agreements
Ian G. Peacock
B.A. 2015, Brigham Young University; M.A. 2017 University of California, Los Angeles; Ph.D. 2022, University of California, Los Angeles; J.D. Candidate 2025, The University of Chicago Law School.

Thank you to Professors Adam Chilton and Tom Ginsburg along with Nicholas Amador, Rupan Bharanidaran, Sara Evans, Nabil Kapasi, Jennifer Kuo, Tyler Lawson, Hana Nasser, Bernie Pellissier, George Phelan, Tom Raffaelli, Sunayana Rane, Joseph Robinson, Max Rotenberg, and Kai Thompson for their gracious and incisive feedback on earlier versions of the Comment.

Bilateral labor agreements (BLAs) aim to facilitate the movement of temporary migrant workers between countries. So far, studies of BLAs have focused on whether they have effects on migration flows. Despite countries entering hundreds of BLAs, evidence for their effects on migration flows remains limited. Yet, even if BLAs have limited material effects, they may still have important symbolic effects. On this topic, this Comment highlights BLAs’ potential to change rhetoric about international migration among heads of state. Drawing on an original empirical analysis focused on BLAs with the Philippines, the Comment analyzes how BLAs may influence leaders’ expressed attitudes toward international migration during United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) debates. Results reveal significant positive shifts in sentiment about international migration after countries form BLAs with the Philippines. The improved sentiment has a limited duration, however, diminishing after initial surges. Considering these findings, the Comment contributes to three bodies of legal scholarship, namely, those dealing with (1) the need for more social science research in international law, (2) the socioeconomic and political effects of BLAs, and (3) the utility of international agreements to constrain or prompt change in state action. Ultimately, the Comment calls for a comprehensive assessment of international agreements, recognizing their ability to affect not only intended outcomes but also high-profile symbolic outcomes.